Lexington vs Oakland Roots Thursday 23rd July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lexington Oakland Roots

Lexington W W W L W L

Oakland Roots L W D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Oakland Roots	Lexington	3 - 0	October 26, 2025
Lexington	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	August 23, 2025

Lexington Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 4	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	San Antonio	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	3 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	3 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	2 - 1	Loss

Oakland Roots Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	3 - 4	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Orange County SC	3 - 2	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Oakland Roots	15	5	6	4	24	22	+2	21
15	Lexington	13	5	3	5	21	16	+5	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.12% likelihood that both Lexington and Oakland Roots will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lexington to win

This prediction indicates that Lexington has a 49.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.66 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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