Liberia vs Mali Tuesday 29th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Liberia Mali

Liberia W L D L L D

Mali L D L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Sierra Leone	3 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Sierra Leone	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Libya	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Away	Benin	1 - 0	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Away	Guinea	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 13, 25	Away	Equatorial Guinea	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 4, 26	Away	Iran	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Russia	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 9, 26	Home	Senegal	0 - 1	Loss
Jan 3, 26	Home	Tunisia	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 29, 25	Away	Comoros	0 - 0	Draw
Dec 26, 25	Away	Morocco	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Mali has a 43.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.24 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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