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Friendlies

June 9, 2026 2 weeks, 6 days ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Liberia Sierra Leone
Liberia L D L L D W
Sierra Leone W W L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sierra Leone Liberia 1 - 0 June 6, 2026
Liberia Sierra Leone 0 - 1 March 27, 2022
Sierra Leone Liberia 1 - 0 September 8, 2019
Liberia Sierra Leone 3 - 1 September 4, 2019
Liberia Sierra Leone 0 - 0 July 22, 2018
Liberia Sierra Leone 1 - 0 June 4, 2017

Liberia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Sierra Leone 1 - 0 Loss
Mar 31, 26 Home Libya 2 - 2 Draw
Mar 27, 26 Away Benin 1 - 0 Loss
Nov 15, 25 Away Guinea 2 - 0 Loss
Oct 13, 25 Away Equatorial Guinea 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 9, 25 Home Namibia 3 - 1 Win

Sierra Leone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Liberia 1 - 0 Win
Oct 12, 25 Away Djibouti 1 - 2 Win
Oct 8, 25 Home Burkina Faso 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 9, 25 Home Ethiopia 2 - 0 Win
Sep 4, 25 Away Guinea-Bissau 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 25, 25 Away Egypt 1 - 0 Loss

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
170 Sierra Leone 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
262 Liberia 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sierra Leone to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sierra Leone has a 39.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.50 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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