Liberia vs Sierra Leone Tuesday 09th June 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Liberia Sierra Leone

Liberia L D L L D W

Sierra Leone W W L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sierra Leone	Liberia	1 - 0	June 6, 2026
Liberia	Sierra Leone	0 - 1	March 27, 2022
Sierra Leone	Liberia	1 - 0	September 8, 2019
Liberia	Sierra Leone	3 - 1	September 4, 2019
Liberia	Sierra Leone	0 - 0	July 22, 2018
Liberia	Sierra Leone	1 - 0	June 4, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Sierra Leone	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Libya	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Away	Benin	1 - 0	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Away	Guinea	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 13, 25	Away	Equatorial Guinea	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 9, 25	Home	Namibia	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Liberia	1 - 0	Win
Oct 12, 25	Away	Djibouti	1 - 2	Win
Oct 8, 25	Home	Burkina Faso	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Home	Ethiopia	2 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 25	Away	Guinea-Bissau	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 25, 25	Away	Egypt	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
170	Sierra Leone	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
262	Liberia	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sierra Leone has a 39.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.50 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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