Libertad vs Leones del Norte Wednesday 01st July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Libertad Leones del Norte

Libertad L W L D W L

Leones del Norte D L W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leones del Norte	Libertad	1 - 1	February 28, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Manta FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Emelec	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Aucas	3 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Macara	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 1, 26	Home	Macara	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Orense SC	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Emelec	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15	18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16	22	-6	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Libertad will score 0 goals, and Leones del Norte will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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