Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
W
L
W
D
L
L
Universidad Catolica
W
W
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | Libertad | 2 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Universidad Catolica | Libertad | 1 - 1 | November 21, 2025 |
| Libertad | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 1 | October 19, 2025 |
| Universidad Catolica | Libertad | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Libertad | Universidad Catolica | 3 - 1 | April 29, 2025 |
| Universidad Catolica | Libertad | 1 - 2 | August 10, 2024 |
Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Delfin SC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Leones del Norte | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Manta FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | LDU de Quito | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Leones del Norte | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Mushuc Runa SC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Emelec | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 19 | +14 | 35 |
| 13 | Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
Predictions
Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 43.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.88 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments