Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification logo

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Libya Botswana
Libya D D W D D W
Botswana W L L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Botswana Libya 1 - 0 June 17, 2023
Libya Botswana 1 - 0 June 1, 2022

Libya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Away Liberia 2 - 2 Draw
Mar 27, 26 Home Niger 0 - 0 Draw
Nov 15, 25 Home Mauritania 1 - 0 Win
Oct 13, 25 Away Mauritius 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 8, 25 Home Cape Verde Islands 3 - 3 Draw
Sep 8, 25 Home Eswatini 2 - 0 Win

Botswana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Home Malawi 1 - 0 Win
Mar 28, 26 Home Zimbabwe 0 - 3 Loss
Dec 30, 25 Home Congo DR 0 - 3 Loss
Dec 27, 25 Away Benin 1 - 0 Loss
Dec 23, 25 Away Senegal 3 - 0 Loss
Oct 14, 25 Away Guinea 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Libya to win
This prediction indicates that Libya has a 49.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.73 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]