Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Thursday 24th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sept. 24, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Liechtenstein Lithuania

Liechtenstein L L L L L L

Lithuania L W L D L L

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Cyprus	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Away	Andorra	2 - 0	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Belgium	7 - 0	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Home	Wales	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 13, 25	Away	Montenegro	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 10, 25	Away	Kazakhstan	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 29, 26	Home	Georgia	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 26, 26	Away	Moldova	0 - 2	Win
Nov 17, 25	Away	Netherlands	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Home	Israel	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 12, 25	Home	Poland	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Away	Finland	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lithuania has a 55.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.17 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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