Linfield vs Kilmarnock Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Linfield Kilmarnock

Linfield W L L L W D

Kilmarnock W W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Linfield	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	July 8, 2023
Linfield	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	June 30, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 12, 26	Home	Dungannon Swifts	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Cliftonville FC	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Coleraine FC	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Larne	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 7, 26	Away	Dungannon Swifts	1 - 3	Win
Mar 28, 26	Away	Glentoran	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Livingston	1 - 4	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Dundee	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Dundee	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Kilmarnock	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Linfield	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Linfield has a 43.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.43 %

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