Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Liniers
Argentino Quilmes
Liniers
W
D
D
D
L
L
Argentino Quilmes
D
D
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Liniers and Argentino Quilmes are in moderate recent form, and both teams have had similar rest periods ahead of this match. Despite Argentino Quilmes having a modest quality edge, Liniers has a history of dominating recent meetings between the two sides. The model predicts a home win with a 35% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests that it's unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Quilmes | Liniers | 1 - 2 | April 4, 2026 |
| Liniers | Argentino Quilmes | 3 - 2 | September 14, 2025 |
| Argentino Quilmes | Liniers | 1 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| Argentino Quilmes | Liniers | 2 - 0 | August 18, 2024 |
| Liniers | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 1 | April 2, 2024 |
| Argentino Quilmes | Liniers | 0 - 1 | February 25, 2014 |
Liniers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Defensores Unidos | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Comunicaciones | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Dock Sud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Deportivo Camioneros | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Sportivo Italiano | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Argentino Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Real Pilar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Villa Dalmine | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Excursionistas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Arsenal Sarandi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Argentino de Merlo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 34 |
| 16 | Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 32 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Liniers to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Liniers has a 35.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.26 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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