Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
W
D
L
L
W
D
Cerro Largo
W
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | 2 - 0 | March 1, 2026 |
| Cerro Largo | Liverpool Montevideo | 2 - 0 | November 7, 2025 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | 2 - 1 | June 7, 2025 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | Cerro Largo | 1 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| Cerro Largo | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 0 | November 13, 2024 |
| Cerro Largo | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 0 | July 6, 2024 |
Liverpool Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Boston River | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Penarol | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Danubio | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Juventud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Cerro Largo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 26 | Home | Cerro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Boston River | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Penarol | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Progreso | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 23 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Liverpool Montevideo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Liverpool Montevideo has a 41.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.54 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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