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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

July 12, 2026 1 week from now VS

Match Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo D W D L L W
Cerro L L W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 1 February 20, 2026
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 2 - 1 August 24, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 0 - 0 May 25, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 2 - 1 February 22, 2025
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 3 November 30, 2024
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 0 - 1 July 21, 2024

Liverpool Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 8, 26 Home Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Boston River 0 - 1 Win
May 22, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Penarol 2 - 1 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Wanderers 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Danubio 3 - 0 Win

Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Penarol 0 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Central Espanol 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Boston River 4 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Club Nacional 4 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 1 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Liverpool Montevideo 18 6 6 6 22 20 +2 24
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10 31 -21 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Liverpool Montevideo to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool Montevideo has a 49.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.93 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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