Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Sunday 12th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo Cerro

Liverpool Montevideo D W D L L W

Cerro L L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerro	Liverpool Montevideo	1 - 1	February 20, 2026
Cerro	Liverpool Montevideo	2 - 1	August 24, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo	Cerro	0 - 0	May 25, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo	Cerro	2 - 1	February 22, 2025
Cerro	Liverpool Montevideo	1 - 3	November 30, 2024
Liverpool Montevideo	Cerro	0 - 1	July 21, 2024

Liverpool Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Boston River	0 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Penarol	2 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Wanderers	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Danubio	3 - 0	Win

Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Central Espanol	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Boston River	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Club Nacional	4 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	0 - 1	Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Liverpool Montevideo	18	6	6	6	22	20	+2	24
16	Cerro	19	3	4	12	10	31	-21	13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Liverpool Montevideo to win

This prediction indicates that Liverpool Montevideo has a 49.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.93 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División - Apertura

Danubio vs Juventud 15 hours from now · 8 p.m. ›