UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Liverpool
Villarreal
Liverpool
D
D
L
L
W
W
Villarreal
L
D
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Liverpool | 2 - 3 | May 3, 2022 |
| Liverpool | Villarreal | 2 - 0 | April 27, 2022 |
| Liverpool | Villarreal | 3 - 0 | May 5, 2016 |
| Villarreal | Liverpool | 1 - 0 | April 28, 2016 |
Liverpool Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | como | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Leeds | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 4 - 2 | Win |
Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Racing Santander | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Levante | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that both Liverpool and Villarreal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Liverpool to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool has a 50.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.72 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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