Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Livorno
Torres
Livorno
D
W
D
W
L
W
Torres
W
L
D
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Livorno and Torres are showing moderate recent form coming into this match, and they have similar rest ahead of it. Despite Torres having a modest quality edge, the model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The market odds suggest a stronger favor towards Livorno winning, whereas the model sees the game as less certain, leaning only slightly towards a home victory.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torres | Livorno | 3 - 1 | March 28, 2026 |
| Livorno | Torres | 3 - 1 | November 24, 2025 |
Livorno Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Empoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cittadella Vis Modena | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Pontedera | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Arezzo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 3, 26 | Home | Gubbio | 3 - 0 | Win |
Torres Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Latte Dolce | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Arezzo | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Gubbio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Pineto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Mar 28, 26 | Home | Livorno | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 20, 26 | Away | Perugia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Livorno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Livorno to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Livorno has a 42.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.62 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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