Livorno vs Vado Wednesday 16th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone B

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Livorno Vado

Livorno D W D W D W

Vado D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Away	Pineto	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 24, 26	Home	Torres	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Empoli	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Cittadella Vis Modena	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Pontedera	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 28, 26	Away	Pianese	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Atalanta II	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Vado	2	1	1	0	2	0	+2	4
5	Livorno	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Livorno has a 38.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.69 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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