Premier League
Match Analysis
LNZ Cherkasy
Chornomorets
LNZ Cherkasy
L
D
D
D
L
D
Chornomorets
L
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
LNZ Cherkasy have struggled in their recent matches, while Chornomorets have been more consistent. However, LNZ Cherkasy are seen as the stronger team on paper and have been creating many chances, whereas Chornomorets have had defensive problems. The model predicts a home win with a 68% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also expects the match to have more than 1.5 goals, but fewer than 2.5, aligning somewhat with the market view on both ends.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | Chornomorets | 1 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Chornomorets | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 - 3 | December 3, 2023 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | Chornomorets | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2023 |
| Chornomorets | LNZ Cherkasy | 0 - 0 | July 8, 2023 |
LNZ Cherkasy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Karpaty | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Bukovyna | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Gent | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Gent | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Goztepe | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Chornomorets Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Polessya | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nyva Vinnytsya | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Inhulets | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Oleksandria | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Kryvbas KR | 2 - 1 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
LNZ Cherkasy to win
This prediction indicates that LNZ Cherkasy has a 67.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.19 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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