First League
Match Analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
L
L
W
L
W
W
Arda Kardzhali
L
W
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 - 0 | May 16, 2026 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 0 - 2 | December 6, 2025 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0 - 0 | August 11, 2025 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2025 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Spartak Varna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Rilski Sportist | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | Win |
Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Beitar Jerusalem | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 0 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Arda Kardzhali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a 38.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.62 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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