First League
Match Analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
L
L
L
W
L
W
Arda Kardzhali
W
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Lokomotiv Plovdiv have shown poor recent form, while Arda Kardzhali arrive with strong recent performance. Arda also holds a modest quality edge over their opponents. The model predicts an away win with a 50% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Recent meetings between these teams have usually been tight and low-scoring, aligning with the model's view that both sides are unlikely to score and the game will stay under 1.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | July 4, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 - 0 | May 16, 2026 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | April 30, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0 - 4 | April 22, 2026 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Arda Kardzhali | 0 - 2 | December 6, 2025 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Dunav Ruse | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Spartak Varna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Rilski Sportist | 0 - 2 | Win |
Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dunav Ruse | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Arda Kardzhali to win
This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 50.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.61 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments