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First Division

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Longford Town Treaty United
Longford Town D W L W W L
Treaty United L D L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Treaty United Longford Town 0 - 1 July 31, 2026
Longford Town Treaty United 3 - 1 May 29, 2026
Treaty United Longford Town 0 - 0 April 3, 2026
Treaty United Longford Town 1 - 2 October 5, 2025
Longford Town Treaty United 2 - 0 August 9, 2025
Treaty United Longford Town 5 - 1 May 23, 2025

Longford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 4 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Athlone Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Finn Harps 5 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Treaty United 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Wexford 1 - 2 Loss

Treaty United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Kerry 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home Cork City 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Away UCD 1 - 2 Win
Jul 31, 26 Home Longford Town 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Athlone Town 2 - 1 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Longford Town 28 11 7 10 39 36 +3 40
9 Treaty United 28 7 9 12 28 41 -13 30

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.95% likelihood that both Longford Town and Treaty United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Longford Town to win
This prediction indicates that Longford Town has a 48.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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