Longford Town vs UCD Saturday 04th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Longford Town UCD

Longford Town L L W W D L

UCD W L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
UCD	Longford Town	2 - 0	May 1, 2026
Longford Town	UCD	0 - 0	March 7, 2026
UCD	Longford Town	2 - 1	September 12, 2025
Longford Town	UCD	0 - 2	June 28, 2025
UCD	Longford Town	1 - 1	May 9, 2025
Longford Town	UCD	0 - 1	April 12, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Kerry	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	5 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Treaty United	3 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Finn Harps	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Kerry	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Away	Finn Harps	0 - 5	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Wexford	2 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	3 - 4	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	UCD	20	10	3	7	33	19	+14	33
6	Longford Town	20	6	7	7	20	24	-4	25

This prediction indicates that UCD has a 47.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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