Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Lorient
Toulouse
Lorient
D
L
L
W
W
W
Toulouse
L
L
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Lorient | 1 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
| Lorient | Toulouse | 1 - 1 | November 9, 2025 |
| Lorient | Toulouse | 1 - 2 | April 28, 2024 |
| Toulouse | Lorient | 1 - 1 | December 3, 2023 |
| Lorient | Toulouse | 0 - 1 | April 23, 2023 |
| Toulouse | Lorient | 2 - 2 | August 21, 2022 |
Lorient Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Nice | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | SV Elversberg | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Angers | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | UNFP | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Guingamp | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nantes | 1 - 0 | Win |
Toulouse Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Lyon | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Hamburger SV | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Rodez | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Nantes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Lyon | 2 - 1 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.13% likelihood that both Lorient and Toulouse will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Lorient to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lorient has a 38.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.57 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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