USL Championship
Match Analysis
Loudoun United
Indy Eleven
Loudoun United
L
L
L
D
D
L
Indy Eleven
W
D
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | 2 - 1 | October 19, 2025 |
| Loudoun United | Indy Eleven | 3 - 2 | August 16, 2025 |
| Loudoun United | Indy Eleven | 0 - 1 | October 8, 2024 |
| Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | 1 - 1 | July 13, 2024 |
| Indy Eleven | Loudoun United | 2 - 1 | August 26, 2023 |
Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Brooklyn | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | New Mexico United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 0 - 1 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Indy Eleven | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 33 |
| 21 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.58% likelihood that both Loudoun United and Indy Eleven will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Loudoun United or Indy Eleven to win
This prediction indicates that Loudoun United has a 37.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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