USL Championship
Match Analysis
Loudoun United
Rhode Island
Loudoun United
L
D
W
D
D
D
Rhode Island
L
W
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| Loudoun United | Rhode Island | 2 - 0 | March 29, 2025 |
| Rhode Island | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | October 13, 2024 |
| Loudoun United | Rhode Island | 0 - 0 | August 24, 2024 |
Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Brooklyn | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 10, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Rhode Island Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Brooklyn | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Lexington | 1 - 3 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rhode Island | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 12 |
| 23 | Loudoun United | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.2% likelihood that both Loudoun United and Rhode Island will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Rhode Island to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Rhode Island has a 36.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.72 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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