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USL Championship

July 4, 2026 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Loudoun United Sporting JAX
Loudoun United L D L L D W
Sporting JAX L L L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 24, 26 Away Charleston Battery 4 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Rhode Island 1 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Monterey Bay 4 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Detroit City 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Brooklyn 0 - 1 Win

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Charleston Battery 2 - 5 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Detroit City 2 - 6 Loss
Jun 11, 26 Away Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Brooklyn 2 - 2 Draw
May 27, 26 Home San Antonio 4 - 4 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
23 Loudoun United 13 1 7 5 15 26 -11 10
25 Sporting JAX 14 0 3 11 17 39 -22 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that both Loudoun United and Sporting JAX will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Loudoun United to win
This prediction indicates that Loudoun United has a 47.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.98 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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