Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Sunday 05th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Louisville City Hartford Athletic

Louisville City D W D L L L

Hartford Athletic D W D L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Louisville City	Hartford Athletic	1 - 0	October 25, 2025
Hartford Athletic	Louisville City	1 - 1	May 17, 2025
Hartford Athletic	Louisville City	2 - 1	August 24, 2024
Louisville City	Hartford Athletic	6 - 0	April 27, 2024
Louisville City	Hartford Athletic	1 - 1	October 7, 2023
Hartford Athletic	Louisville City	0 - 0	June 3, 2023

Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	0 - 2	Win
Jun 4, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Miami FC	4 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 2	Loss

Hartford Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24	22	+2	21
12	Hartford Athletic	12	4	6	2	10	10	0	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that both Louisville City and Hartford Athletic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that Louisville City will score 2 goals, and Hartford Athletic will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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