Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Sunday 31st May 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Louisville City Tampa Bay Rowdies

Louisville City L L L W D L

Tampa Bay Rowdies W W D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Louisville City	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2 - 1	June 8, 2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Louisville City	1 - 2	April 19, 2025
Louisville City	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2 - 1	October 12, 2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Louisville City	3 - 2	June 15, 2024
Louisville City	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2 - 3	October 14, 2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Louisville City	2 - 1	September 9, 2023

Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Miami FC	4 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Detroit City	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	1 - 0	Win
Apr 10, 26	Away	Loudoun United	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	0 - 2	Loss

Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	3 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	New Mexico United	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Rhode Island	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	2 - 2	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	10	7	3	0	17	5	+12	24
6	Louisville City	10	5	1	4	19	17	+2	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.54% likelihood that both Louisville City and Tampa Bay Rowdies will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Louisville City to win

This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 51.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.60 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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