Louletano vs União Santarém Saturday 12th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Liga 3

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Louletano União Santarém

Louletano W L D D W D

União Santarém L D L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 26	Away	Caldas	2 - 4	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Oliveirense	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Oliveira Hospital	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Atlético Malveira	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	CF Os Belenenses	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Home	Oliveirense	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	SC Covilha	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Academica	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Varzim	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Amarante	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Louletano	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1
19	União Santarém	3	0	1	2	1	8	-7	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Louletano has a 49.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.69 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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