FA Cup
Match Analysis
Lower Breck
Chester
Lower Breck
W
L
L
L
W
L
Chester
L
D
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Lower Breck Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Thornaby | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 25 | Away | Hallam | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 25 | Home | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 24 | Away | Hallam | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 24 | Away | Alsager Town | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 23, 23 | Home | AFC Emley | 1 - 5 | Loss |
Chester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Merthyr Town | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Hebburn Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Morecambe | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Hereford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Spalding United | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Darlington 1883 | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that both Lower Breck and Chester will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Chester to win
This prediction indicates that Chester has a 43.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.70 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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