Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv Saturday 15th August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ludogorets Botev Plovdiv

Ludogorets D W L W L W

Botev Plovdiv L D W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botev Plovdiv	Ludogorets	2 - 1	February 23, 2026
Ludogorets	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	August 31, 2025
Botev Plovdiv	Ludogorets	2 - 4	December 19, 2024
Ludogorets	Botev Plovdiv	3 - 0	December 8, 2024
Botev Plovdiv	Ludogorets	0 - 2	March 10, 2024
Ludogorets	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 2	September 16, 2023

Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 27, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	0 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Teuta Durrës	1 - 0	Win

Botev Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Sofia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Beroe	4 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Spartak Varna	1 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	4 - 0	Win

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ludogorets	2	2	0	0	3	0	+3	6
8	Botev Plovdiv	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that both Ludogorets and Botev Plovdiv will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ludogorets to win

This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 64.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.62 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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