Ludogorets vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo Friday 26th June 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Ludogorets Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Ludogorets D W L D W L

Etar Veliko Tarnovo L L L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	Ludogorets	0 - 4	November 12, 2023
Ludogorets	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	5 - 0	July 22, 2023
Ludogorets	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	5 - 1	March 26, 2022
Ludogorets	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	6 - 0	February 15, 2021
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	Ludogorets	0 - 2	August 29, 2020
Etar Veliko Tarnovo	Ludogorets	1 - 1	February 23, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	CSKA Sofia	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	1 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Levski Sofia	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 23, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	6 - 0	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Home	Spartak Pleven	1 - 2	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 28, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 23, 26	Home	Cherno More Varna	0 - 6	Loss
Jan 16, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
496	Ludogorets	3	2	1	0	8	6	+2	7
1330	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	6	0	2	4	4	20	-16	2

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 65.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.01 %

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