First League
Match Analysis
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
D
W
W
W
D
W
Septemvri Sofia
D
W
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Ludogorets | 0 - 2 | November 23, 2025 |
| Ludogorets | Septemvri Sofia | 5 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| Ludogorets | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 0 | March 3, 2025 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Ludogorets | 0 - 2 | October 20, 2024 |
| Ludogorets | Septemvri Sofia | 3 - 1 | October 30, 2022 |
Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Botev Plovdiv | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Cherno More Varna | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Botev Vratsa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Dunav Ruse | 0 - 2 | Win |
Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | CSKA 1948 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Spartak Varna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 1 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 | Septemvri Sofia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ludogorets to win
This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 75.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.19 %Most Likely Scorelines
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