Primera C
Match Analysis
Lugano
Lujan
Lugano
D
W
W
W
D
D
Lujan
L
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Lujan carries a clear quality gap in their favor, which the model reflects in its prediction of an away win with a 44% probability. Despite both teams showing strong recent form and Lujan's history of dominating recent meetings with many goals, the model suggests that the away side is favored. The market odds are not available for direct comparison, but the model's confidence in an away win and a match with fewer than two goals aligns with Lujan's strong attacking form and the overall context provided.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | Lugano | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Lugano | Lujan | 1 - 3 | September 21, 2024 |
| Lujan | Lugano | 2 - 1 | April 21, 2024 |
Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Victoriano Arenas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Centro Español | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sportivo Barracas | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Juventud Unida | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | JJ Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Lujan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Central Cordoba | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Estrella Del Sur | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Claypole | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Central Ballester | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | El Porvenir | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Fénix | 2 - 1 | Win |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 | Lugano | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Lujan to win
This prediction indicates that Lujan has a 43.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.15 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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