Lugano vs Lujan Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lugano Lujan

Lugano W W W D D W

Lujan W W D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lujan	Lugano	0 - 0	April 18, 2026
Lugano	Lujan	1 - 3	September 21, 2024
Lujan	Lugano	2 - 1	April 21, 2024

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Defensores de Cambaceres	1 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Centro Español	1 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Sportivo Barracas	3 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Juventud Unida	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	JJ Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sacachispas	0 - 1	Win

Lujan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Claypole	1 - 3	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Central Ballester	3 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	El Porvenir	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Fénix	2 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	Sportivo Barracas	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Yupanqui	2 - 0	Win

Primera C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lujan	20	10	6	4	25	15	+10	36
7	Lugano	21	8	8	5	25	19	+6	32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Lujan to win

This prediction indicates that Lujan has a 42.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.14 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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