Lugano vs Mercedes Saturday 13th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Lugano Mercedes

Lugano L D L D W L

Mercedes D D W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lugano	Mercedes	0 - 1	August 17, 2025
Mercedes	Lugano	1 - 1	May 2, 2025
Mercedes	Lugano	2 - 2	October 26, 2024
Lugano	Mercedes	0 - 0	May 27, 2024
Mercedes	Lugano	2 - 1	October 9, 2023
Lugano	Mercedes	2 - 1	July 2, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Argentino Rosario	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Estrella Del Sur	3 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Leones de Rosario	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Puerto Nuevo	3 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Berazategui	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Leandro N. Alem	2 - 0	Win
May 18, 26	Away	Deportivo Español	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Defensores de Cambaceres	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Juventud Unida	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Mercedes	15	4	7	4	10	9	+1	19
18	Lugano	15	4	6	5	19	17	+2	18

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lugano will score 0 goals, and Mercedes will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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