Serie C - Girone A
Match Analysis
Lumezzane
Novara
Lumezzane
W
L
D
L
D
W
Novara
D
L
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | Lumezzane | 1 - 3 | April 3, 2026 |
| Lumezzane | Novara | 1 - 1 | November 29, 2025 |
| Lumezzane | Novara | 2 - 2 | April 11, 2025 |
| Novara | Lumezzane | 0 - 0 | December 1, 2024 |
| Novara | Lumezzane | 1 - 1 | March 30, 2024 |
| Lumezzane | Novara | 1 - 1 | November 26, 2023 |
Lumezzane Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Giana Erminio | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ospitaletto | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cremonese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Cittadella | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Alcione | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Virtus Verona | 4 - 1 | Win |
Novara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Folgore Caratese | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Juventus U23 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Virtus Entella | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Sampdoria | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Inter U23 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Ospitaletto | 0 - 2 | Win |
Serie C - Girone A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lumezzane | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lumezzane to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lumezzane has a 41.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.12 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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