Lund vs Ariana Friday 12th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lund Ariana

Lund D W W W L D

Ariana W W W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ariana	Lund	0 - 1	October 3, 2025
Lund	Ariana	0 - 0	April 28, 2025
Lund	Ariana	1 - 1	August 10, 2024
Ariana	Lund	3 - 1	May 5, 2024
Lund	Ariana	3 - 0	September 1, 2023
Ariana	Lund	0 - 0	April 8, 2023

Lund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Kristianstad	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 3, 26	Away	Olympic	1 - 3	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Eskilsminne	4 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Utsikten	5 - 0	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Laholm	4 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Trollhättan	1 - 1	Draw

Ariana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Eskilsminne	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Laholm	4 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Skövde AIK	0 - 4	Win
May 18, 26	Home	Tvååker	0 - 1	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Trollhättan	0 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Hässleholms IF	3 - 2	Win

Ettan - Södra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Lund	11	6	4	1	23	11	+12	22
3	Ariana	11	6	3	2	22	13	+9	21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that both Lund and Ariana will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Lund to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Lund has a 36.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.56 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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