Segunda Liga
Match Analysis
Lusitânia Lourosa
FC Porto B
Lusitânia Lourosa
L
W
D
D
W
L
FC Porto B
D
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Lusitânia Lourosa with a 36% probability. The match is seen as closely matched in overall quality, but Lusitânia Lourosa's moderate recent form, combined with FC Porto B's strong recent form and a rest advantage, influences the prediction. The market odds imply a similar level of uncertainty, with the home win not strongly favored. Additionally, the model expects over 1.5 goals to be scored with 61% probability, aligning with recent meetings that have featured plenty of goals, and this outlook is notably more confident than the market odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | FC Porto B | 3 - 3 | July 29, 2026 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | FC Porto B | 1 - 1 | April 13, 2026 |
| FC Porto B | Lusitânia Lourosa | 1 - 2 | November 30, 2025 |
Lusitânia Lourosa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Arouca | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Paredes | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Leça | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | FC Porto B | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Academico Viseu | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | SC Braga B | 0 - 2 | Loss |
FC Porto B Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Academica | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Benfica B | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Sporting CP B | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 4, 26 | Home | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Penafiel | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Segunda Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Lusitânia Lourosa to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lusitânia Lourosa has a 35.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.69 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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