Liga 3 logo

Liga 3

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha
Lusitano Évora 1911 W D L L D L
SC Covilha L D W D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha 1 - 0 April 18, 2026
SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 3 March 14, 2026
Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha 2 - 1 January 4, 2026
SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911 0 - 2 November 22, 2025
SC Covilha Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 1 September 28, 2025
Lusitano Évora 1911 SC Covilha 0 - 0 September 24, 2023

Lusitano Évora 1911 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Mafra 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Caldas 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Atlético CP 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Estrela 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Benfica B 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Atlético CP 0 - 1 Loss

SC Covilha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Atlético CP 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Vitória de Sernache 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home União Santarém 2 - 0 Win
May 1, 26 Home Amora 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Caldas 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 0 Loss

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Lusitano Évora 1911 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
10 SC Covilha 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.46% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win
This prediction indicates that Lusitano Évora 1911 has a 49.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.18 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]