EFL Trophy logo

EFL Trophy

Sept. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Luton Ipswich Town U21
Luton W W L W D W
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Luton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Reading 3 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Gillingham 0 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home GO Ahead Eagles 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Al Kholood 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Barnet 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Hitchin Town 0 - 5 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Luton to win
This prediction indicates that Luton has a 69.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.68 %

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]