EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Luton
Peterborough
Luton
W
W
L
W
D
W
Peterborough
L
W
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | Peterborough | 2 - 1 | April 3, 2026 |
| Peterborough | Luton | 0 - 2 | August 9, 2025 |
| Peterborough | Luton | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2022 |
| Peterborough | Luton | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2022 |
| Luton | Peterborough | 3 - 0 | August 7, 2021 |
| Luton | Peterborough | 4 - 0 | January 19, 2019 |
Luton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Reading | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | GO Ahead Eagles | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Kholood | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Barnet | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Hitchin Town | 0 - 5 | Win |
Peterborough Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Bradford | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Bristol Rovers | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | West Brom | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | York | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Boston United | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Peterborough Sports | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that both Luton and Peterborough will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Luton to win
This prediction indicates that Luton has a 58.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.37 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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