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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 29, 2026
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Luverdense Ceilândia
Luverdense W W D W L L
Ceilândia L D D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ceilândia Luverdense 1 - 2 June 20, 2026
Ceilândia Luverdense 1 - 0 July 5, 2025
Luverdense Ceilândia 2 - 2 May 10, 2025

Luverdense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Ceilândia 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Inhumas 4 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Brasiliense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Aparecidense 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Primavera MG 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Gama 1 - 2 Loss

Ceilândia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Luverdense 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Away Mixto 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Goiatuba EC 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away União Rondonópolis 2 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Away Capital Brasilia 2 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home CEOV Operário 0 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
30 Luverdense 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
68 Ceilândia 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Luverdense will score 0 goals, and Ceilândia will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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