Luverdense vs Guaporé Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Luverdense Guaporé

Luverdense D W W D W L

Guaporé W L D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Ceilândia	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ceilândia	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Inhumas	4 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Aparecidense	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Primavera MG	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Monte Roraima	2 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Monte Roraima	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Independência	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Araguaína	3 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Porto Velho	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Guaporé	11	6	4	1	21	12	+9	22
30	Luverdense	11	5	3	3	13	11	+2	18

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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