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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
4 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Luverdense Inhumas
Luverdense D W L L L D
Inhumas L L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Inhumas Luverdense 1 - 2 April 4, 2026

Luverdense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Brasiliense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Aparecidense 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Primavera MG 1 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Gama 1 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Gama 4 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Primavera MG 1 - 1 Draw

Inhumas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Gama 0 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Brasiliense 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Aparecidense 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Primavera MG 0 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Primavera MG 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Aparecidense 3 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
55 Luverdense 9 3 3 3 7 10 -3 12
95 Inhumas 9 0 1 8 3 16 -13 1

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Luverdense to win
This prediction indicates that Luverdense has a 56.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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