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Friendlies

June 3, 2026 3 weeks, 5 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Luxembourg Italy
Luxembourg L L L L L L
Italy L W W W W W
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Luxembourg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Nov 17, 25 Away Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Loss
Nov 14, 25 Home Germany 0 - 2 Loss
Oct 13, 25 Away Slovakia 2 - 0 Loss
Oct 10, 25 Away Germany 4 - 0 Loss
Sep 7, 25 Home Slovakia 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 4, 25 Home Northern Ireland 1 - 3 Loss

Italy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Nov 16, 25 Home Norway 1 - 4 Loss
Nov 13, 25 Away Moldova 0 - 2 Win
Oct 14, 25 Home Israel 3 - 0 Win
Oct 11, 25 Away Estonia 1 - 3 Win
Sep 8, 25 Away Israel 4 - 5 Win
Sep 5, 25 Home Estonia 5 - 0 Win

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
209 Italy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
209 Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 61.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Italy to win
This prediction indicates that Italy has a 46.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.14 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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