Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
L
W
W
W
W
L
Universidad Catolica
L
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, and both are showing strong recent form, but Universidad Catolica has dominated their past meetings, often with many goals scored. The model predicts a 53% chance that Universidad Catolica will win, which is notably higher confidence than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a 53% chance that both teams will score, and a slight edge toward fewer than two goals overall, aligning somewhat with the market view on totals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | Macara | 4 - 0 | April 24, 2026 |
| Macara | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 4 | July 27, 2025 |
| Universidad Catolica | Macara | 1 - 0 | April 6, 2025 |
| Macara | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 2 | November 30, 2024 |
| Universidad Catolica | Macara | 3 - 0 | June 2, 2024 |
| Macara | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 3 | July 31, 2022 |
Macara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Santos | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Aucas | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Delfin SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Libertad | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Guayaquil City FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | LDU de Quito | 1 - 0 | Win |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Macara | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 41 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 21 | +18 | 39 |
Predictions
Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 53.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.39 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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