Carioca U20
Match Analysis
Madureira U20
Vasco da Gama U20
Madureira U20
L
D
D
D
W
L
Vasco da Gama U20
L
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Vasco da Gama U20 is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap favoring them. The model predicts a 54% chance of an away win, aligning with Vasco's perceived superiority and their recent strong attacking form, as well as their rest advantage. The model also suggests a 54% chance of over 1.5 goals and a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a game with multiple goals, which matches the moderate recent form shown by both teams. Overall, the model expects Vasco to win in a match where both teams are likely to score and several goals will be scored.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama U20 | Madureira U20 | 2 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Vasco da Gama U20 | Madureira U20 | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2024 |
Madureira U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Flamengo U20 | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Fluminense U20 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Botafogo U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Volta Redonda U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Oct 11, 25 | Home | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 4, 25 | Home | Flamengo U20 | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Vasco da Gama U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Maricá U20 | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Nov 22, 25 | Home | Botafogo U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Nov 15, 25 | Away | Botafogo U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Nov 9, 25 | Home | Fluminense U20 | 2 - 0 | Win |
Carioca U20 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Madureira U20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that both Madureira U20 and Vasco da Gama U20 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vasco da Gama U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Vasco da Gama U20 has a 54.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments