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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Madureira Pouso Alegre
Madureira L D L W L L
Pouso Alegre L L L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pouso Alegre Madureira 2 - 0 April 4, 2026

Madureira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Água Santa 4 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Portuguesa RJ 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away América RJ 3 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Portuguesa 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Portuguesa 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home América RJ 2 - 3 Loss

Pouso Alegre Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Portuguesa 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Água Santa 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Portuguesa RJ 0 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Home América RJ 3 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away América RJ 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Portuguesa RJ 2 - 0 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
82 Madureira 9 2 2 5 10 16 -6 8
86 Pouso Alegre 9 2 1 6 6 13 -7 7

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Madureira to win
This prediction indicates that Madureira has a 51.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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