Madureira vs Pouso Alegre Saturday 06th June 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Madureira Pouso Alegre

Madureira L D L W L L

Pouso Alegre L L L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Pouso Alegre	Madureira	2 - 0	April 4, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Água Santa	4 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	América RJ	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Portuguesa	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Portuguesa	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	América RJ	2 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Portuguesa	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Água Santa	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	América RJ	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	América RJ	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
82	Madureira	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
86	Pouso Alegre	9	2	1	6	6	13	-7	7

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Madureira has a 51.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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