Malawi vs South Sudan Wednesday 23rd September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Malawi South Sudan

Malawi D L L D W D

South Sudan L W D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
South Sudan	Malawi	0 - 1	March 24, 2021
Malawi	South Sudan	1 - 0	November 13, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Ethiopia	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Ethiopia	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Botswana	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Away	Zambia U23	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 18, 25	Away	Lesotho	0 - 1	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Lesotho	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 29, 26	Home	Djibouti	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 26, 26	Away	Djibouti	0 - 4	Win
Oct 13, 25	Home	Togo	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 10, 25	Home	Senegal	0 - 5	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Away	Mauritania	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 25	Home	Congo DR	1 - 4	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Malawi has a 43.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.01 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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