Maldives vs Lebanon Thursday 01st October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Friendlies

Oct. 1, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Maldives Lebanon
Maldives D L L D W L
Lebanon D W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Maldives Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Bangladesh U23 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 4, 26 Home Pakistan 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 1, 26 Home Afghanistan 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 9, 25 Away Sri Lanka 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 6, 25 Away Sri Lanka 0 - 3 Win
Jun 5, 25 Away Singapore 3 - 1 Loss

Lebanon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 8, 25 Away Indonesia 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 24, 25 Away Qatar 0 - 1 Win
May 28, 25 Away Oman 1 - 0 Loss
Mar 20, 25 Home Timor-Leste 4 - 0 Win
Dec 15, 24 Away Kuwait 0 - 2 Win
Dec 12, 24 Away Kuwait 1 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Maldives or Lebanon to win
This prediction indicates that Maldives has a 39.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.51 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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