Manauara vs Independência Sunday 28th June 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Manauara Independência

Manauara W W W D W D

Independência L D W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Independência	Manauara	0 - 2	June 21, 2026
Independência	Manauara	2 - 1	July 27, 2025
Manauara	Independência	1 - 1	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Independência	0 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Sao Raimundo	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Monte Roraima	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Manaus FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Nacional AM	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	GAS	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Manauara	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Guaporé	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Humaitá	0 - 4	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Galvez	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Araguaína	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Porto Velho	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Manauara	11	7	4	0	15	5	+10	25
45	Independência	11	4	3	4	17	12	+5	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Manauara has a 48.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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