UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Manchester City
Paris Saint Germain
Manchester City
W
W
L
W
W
D
Paris Saint Germain
D
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | Manchester City | 4 - 2 | January 22, 2025 |
| Manchester City | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 1 | November 24, 2021 |
| Paris Saint Germain | Manchester City | 2 - 0 | September 28, 2021 |
| Manchester City | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 0 | May 4, 2021 |
| Paris Saint Germain | Manchester City | 1 - 2 | April 28, 2021 |
| Manchester City | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 0 | April 12, 2016 |
Manchester City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Crystal Palace | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Bournemouth | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Arsenal | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | K-League Stars | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Inter | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Paris Saint Germain Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Lille | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Rennes | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Mallorca | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Arsenal | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Paris FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.37% likelihood that both Manchester City and Paris Saint Germain will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Manchester City to win
This prediction indicates that Manchester City has a 52.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.73 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments