Manta FC vs Leones del Norte Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Manta FC Leones del Norte

Manta FC L L D L L D

Leones del Norte W D W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leones del Norte	Manta FC	3 - 0	April 22, 2026
Leones del Norte	Manta FC	1 - 1	September 26, 2024
Manta FC	Leones del Norte	2 - 1	August 7, 2024
Manta FC	Leones del Norte	3 - 1	June 5, 2024
Leones del Norte	Manta FC	3 - 0	April 11, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Tecnico Universitario	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	LDU de Quito	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Delfin SC	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Orense SC	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Delfin SC	0 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	0 - 1	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	1 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Libertad	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Leones del Norte	22	8	7	7	23	21	+2	31
16	Manta FC	22	3	5	14	8	27	-19	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Leones del Norte has a 36.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.13 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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