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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Manthiqueira Mauaense
Manthiqueira W L L W D W
Mauaense L W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mauaense Manthiqueira 2 - 2 May 16, 2026
Manthiqueira Mauaense 1 - 0 June 7, 2025
Mauaense Manthiqueira 4 - 0 May 3, 2025
Manthiqueira Mauaense 4 - 2 June 22, 2024
Mauaense Manthiqueira 5 - 1 May 18, 2024

Manthiqueira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Barcelona EC 1 - 5 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Itaquá Athletico Clube 0 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Uniao Mogi 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Maua 4 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Away Mauaense 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Barcelona EC 2 - 1 Win

Mauaense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Uniao Mogi 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Barcelona EC 0 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Maua 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Itaquá Athletico Clube 1 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Manthiqueira 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Uniao Mogi 0 - 1 Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Mauaense 9 3 3 3 9 8 +1 12
18 Manthiqueira 9 3 2 4 15 16 -1 11

Predictions

Mauaense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mauaense has a 36.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.61 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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